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Bournemouth v crystal palace goals should flow between struggling sides




Bournemouth v Crystal Palace

Tuesday, 19:45


Bournemouth

The Cherries come into this match well rested, having been knocked out of the FA Cup in the third round.

Eddie Howe will have had ten days to prepare for this Tuesday evening match, as he looks to turn around Bournemouth's recent poor form. They have now gone four games without a win, with that run starting with the dramatic match against Arsenal in which Bournemouth surrendered a three goal lead.

Most recently they drew at home with struggling Watford, twice fighting back to claim a 2-2 draw. Though probably safe from relegation - Bournemouth are ten points clear of the drop zone - Howe will no doubt be concerned by their inconsistency. Bournemouth are yet to win consecutive games this season.

The young manager could welcome Max Gradel back to the side after the Ivory Coast were eliminated from the Africa Cup of Nations. Marc Wilson is still out with a hamstring injury.


Crystal Palace

Bournemouth's problems are pretty insignificant when compared to those of Crystal Palace.

The Eagles were knocked out of the FA Cup by Manchester City at the weekend, which at least means that they can now concentrate on their fight against relegation. Sam Allardyce has yet to turn around results at Selhurst Park, earning just one point from a possible 15 since arriving at the club.

In Palace's favour as they look to escape the drop, is the fact that they have more spending power than their rivals. They have already brought in Jeffrey Schlupp during the January window and look set to add Patrick van Aanholt to their squad.

Schlupp has already picked up an injury since signing for Palace, joining the likes of Jonathan Benteke, Fraizer Campbell, Scott Dann, Steve Mandanda, Pape Souare, Julian Speroni and Connor Wickham on the sidelines. Bakaray Sako and Wilfried Zaha could return after being away on AFCON duty.


Ref Watch

Jonathan Moss will officiate. During his last Premier League match between Arsenal and Burnley, he sent off one player and gave four yellow cards.


Match Odds

Bournemouth are the [2.12] favourites, with the draw at [3.55] and Crystal Palace at [4.0].

The price for the home win is tempting considering that Palace are in such poor form. Five of Bournemouth's seven wins this season have come at home.

If the price for Draw No Bet was bigger than the [1.52] on offer, that would be my recommendation, but instead we'll take a chance on a fresh Bournemouth side coming good.


Over/Under 2.5 Goals

It's dead split, with unders and overs both available at [1.99].

That's a surprise when you take into account that Bournemouth's last seven games have seen three goals or more. Palace have also seen over 2.5 goals in three of their last four matches.

Over 2.5 goals is clearly good value, while Both Teams To Score at [1.83] is also worth considering.


To Score

Callum Wilson is the favourite in this market at [2.75]. He's scored six goals in 17 appearances this season, which are not statistics to give you much confidence.

For Palace, it's Christian Benteke who leads the way at [3.05]. His ten goals in 24 games is slightly more impressive, but overall this looks like a market best avoided.


Recommended Bets

Back Bournemouth to win at [2.12]

Back over 2.5 goals at [1.99]

Wayne mardle on the premier league mvg the unstoppable machine




The 2017 Premier League kicks off this Thursday in Newcastle. Sixteen weeks of dynamic darts played from six different countries, England, Wales, Scotland, Ireland, Northern Ireland and the Netherlands.


The battle is not only on the dartboard but also, who can stay mentally strong for the duration.

Last year we saw Phil Taylor fight his way to the final and then run out of stamina against Michael Van Gerwen.


It's a brutal tournament that's halted many a man's progress in the sport. Being competitive every week for some is stressful and sometimes, too much.


This year the line up is similar to recent years, Van Gerwen, Gary Anderson, Peter Wright, Adrian Lewis, James Wade, Taylor, Dave Chisnall, Raymond van Barneveld, Jelle Klaasen & Kim Huybrechts. There are no debutants this time around, just 10 of the greatest darts players in the world.


So let's talk about possible outcomes.


Winner & Playoffs


Van Gerwen is the odds on favourite at 4/7 on the Betfair Sportsbook, and rightly so. Michael has been dominant for a few years now, it's common knowledge he's the one to beat. Michael is the reigning champion.


Anderson (9/2) will definitely qualify for the playoffs in May, that's not fact obviously, it's my opinion. His mean is way above every other player other than Michael.


Apart from the aforementioned it's really tough to predict the other two players likely to make the playoffs.


There are a few inconsistent types who will spoil many a betting slip over the next few months. Klaasen (50/1), when on song is a monster who won't be contained. When things aren't going so well for him he'll get beat all too easily.


The same can be said for Huybrechts (66/1), Chisnall (33/1), and even Van Barneveld (25/1) to a point, though I'm a constant backer of the great Dutchman because he's often overpriced.


It's likely Wade (33/1) will be competitive but come up just short, that's his MO in recent years.


Lewis (25/1) is another who will make a real mess of many an accumulator. One of the most gifted players there has ever been needs to find a way to win ugly. He keeps getting beaten in close fought scrappy matches.


Taylor (14/1) has to improve his composure. There was a time when he was as reliable as the sun rising. The Power is as capable as anyone but his best games are few and far between these days.


Selections


Unoriginal as it may seem, I just can't look beyond Van Gerwen to win the league phase and the finals on playoff night. There's a certainty to his play that only Taylor has had before.


As decent priced runners go, I can't omit Van Barneveld from my selections. Van the Man is a champion. If he can make the playoffs - try getting matched at around [3.2] once the Top 4 Finish market gains liquidity - he'll fancy his chances of winning the title again.


Recommended Bets


Back Michael van Gerwenn to win the Premier League @ 4/7

Back Raynond van Barneveld Each-Way to win the Premier League @ 25/1 (Sportsbook)

Back Raymond van Barneveld Top 4 Finish @ [3.2]


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You can read Wayne's weekly tips on this year's Premier League darts by visiting his section on the betting.betfair darts pages.